Global policy rates · Inflation · Yields · Credit · Vol · Commodities
| Metric | Current | Prev | Fcst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 US CPI | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | |
| 🇺🇸 US Core CPI | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | |
| 🇪🇺 EU HICP | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan CPI | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | |
| 🇬🇧 UK CPI | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia CPI | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Spread | Level | Shape |
|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 US 2s10s | -0.42% | Inverted |
| 🇺🇸 US 3M10Y | -0.85% | Inverted |
| 🇩🇪 German 2s10s | -0.25% | Inverted |
| 🇬🇧 UK 2s10s | -0.12% | Inverted |
| 🇯🇵 Japan 2s10s | +0.55% | Normal |
| Base ↓ / Quote → | USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CHF | AUD | CNH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | — | -0.42% | -0.18% | +0.75% | -0.62% | -0.55% | +0.21% |
| EUR | +0.42% | — | +0.24% | +1.18% | -0.20% | -0.13% | +0.63% |
| GBP | +0.18% | -0.24% | — | +0.94% | -0.44% | -0.37% | +0.39% |
| JPY | -0.75% | -1.18% | -0.94% | — | -1.38% | -1.31% | -0.54% |
| CHF | +0.62% | +0.20% | +0.44% | +1.38% | — | +0.07% | +0.83% |
| AUD | +0.55% | +0.13% | +0.37% | +1.31% | -0.07% | — | +0.76% |
| CNH | -0.21% | -0.63% | -0.39% | +0.54% | -0.83% | -0.76% | — |
| Date | Time | CCY | Event | Fcst | Prior | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 20:30 | 🇺🇸 | Non-Farm Payrolls | 180K | 199K | |
| Today | 22:00 | 🇺🇸 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 49.5 | 49.1 | |
| Today | 22:00 | 🇺🇸 | Average Hourly Earnings | +0.3% | +0.4% | |
| Tomorrow | 09:30 | 🇦🇺 | Employment Change | 20.0K | 38.5K | |
| Tomorrow | 11:00 | 🇪🇺 | Retail Sales (MoM) | +0.2% | +0.1% | |
| Tomorrow | 14:30 | 🇨🇦 | Canada Jobs Report | 15K | 22K | |
| Wed Apr 10 | 13:30 | 🇪🇺 | ECB Rate Decision | 4.25% | 4.25% | |
| Wed Apr 10 | 15:00 | 🇺🇸 | US CPI (YoY) | 3.1% | 3.2% | |
| Wed Apr 10 | 15:00 | 🇺🇸 | US Core CPI (YoY) | 3.6% | 3.8% | |
| Thu Apr 11 | 09:00 | 🇬🇧 | UK GDP (MoM) | +0.1% | +0.2% | |
| Thu Apr 11 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Initial Jobless Claims | 215K | 221K | |
| Thu Apr 11 | 17:00 | 🇺🇸 | 30Y Bond Auction | — | 4.65% | |
| Fri Apr 12 | 08:00 | 🇨🇳 | China CPI (YoY) | 0.8% | 0.7% | |
| Fri Apr 12 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | UMich Consumer Sentiment | 79.5 | 78.9 | |
| Fri Apr 12 | 11:00 | 🇬🇧 | UK CPI (YoY) | 3.4% | 3.6% |
Strong RS, positive momentum. Overweight these sectors.
Still outperforming but losing momentum. Trim.
Weak RS and momentum. Underweight.
Weak RS but gaining momentum. Accumulate.
| S&P 500 | US 10Y | Gold | Oil | USD Idx | VIX | BTC | EM Eq. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | — | -0.42 | 0.08 | 0.31 | -0.35 | -0.87 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| US 10Y | -0.42 | — | 0.22 | -0.12 | 0.44 | 0.35 | -0.18 | -0.38 |
| Gold | 0.08 | 0.22 | — | 0.15 | -0.52 | -0.05 | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| Oil | 0.31 | -0.12 | 0.15 | — | -0.28 | -0.22 | 0.18 | 0.41 |
| USD Idx | -0.35 | 0.44 | -0.52 | -0.28 | — | 0.28 | -0.31 | -0.54 |
| VIX | -0.87 | 0.35 | -0.05 | -0.22 | 0.28 | — | -0.52 | -0.71 |
| BTC | 0.61 | -0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 | -0.31 | -0.52 | — | 0.55 |
| EM Eq. | 0.78 | -0.38 | 0.12 | 0.41 | -0.54 | -0.71 | 0.55 | — |